covid-19 economy
covid-19 economy
Stay Calm And Avoid Panic Selling
In the last few weeks, things have not
really been favourable for Indian
investors. The stock markets have tanked
miserably and globally there are clear signs
of recession. There is a crisis of confidence in
the markets and there is uncertainty all over.
These are truly difficult and trying times.
The entire world is in the throes of one of
its most formidable challenges ever faced by
mankind. The COVID-19 virus attack has
taken the entire world unawares. The way
out is still unknown. While hi-tech medical
research is ongoing, it is still uncertain when
we will be able to see the light at the other
end of the tunnel.
We have seen unprecedented
developments in the stock markets in the last
few weeks. The Sensex has dropped by 2000
points plus in a day more than once. It stands
at around 29,000 now as against 38,000 last
month. The story with the Nifty is similar.
Investors have taken a heavy hit and no one
is bold enough to venture into the unknown
at this point of time. Making matters worse
are predictions by international bodies that
India’s GDP growth will plummet. Some, like
Moody’s has predicted that GDP growth will
be just 2.5 per cent for calendar year 2020,
down from 5.3 per cent forecast earlier. That
is not helping investor confidence.
What is making things worse is the huge
drop in crude prices which is affecting the
global economy. With the US becoming
one of the worst affected countries by the
COVID-19 attack, the impact is being felt
worldwide and India is not an exception.
The times are going to be tough for
the months to come even after the virus
massacre recedes in India. The markets,
though gaining in pockets, will take time to
come back to their earlier glory primarily
because the Indian industry has been hit
badly. Manufacturing and productivity has
been severely affected. The state of company
results in the next quarter is anybody’s guess.
In such times it does not pay to do any
panic selling and will make sense to stay
invested for the long term because the
markets may show some resilience after a
few months and bring in some cheer for the
investors.
World over, the media is going through
a tough time. Conditions are such that it
is increasingly becoming difficult for us to
continue with our normal schedules.
It is often said that desperate times
require desperate measures and we are truly
going through desperate times at present.
Obviously, at our end too, it will call for
drastic measures. We will do our best to
ensure that our readers stay safe and ensure
that we do not compromise your safety and
security in such times.
The PM has put the entire nation in a
three-week lockdown in which nothing
but essential services will work. That puts
us in a difficult position to carry on with
normal working schedules as printing and
distribution of the magazine will not be
possible. Moreover, we would not want to
send magazines to our readers at this point
of time as the print copies go through many
hands before reaching our readers and may
inadvertently become carriers.
As such, we have decided to temporarily
suspend the print edition of Outlook Money
for the time being till things improve. I hope
our readers and subscribers will understand
our predicament. In many places across the
country, newspapers and periodicals have
stopped production exactly for the same
reasons.
But we will not leave you news-dry even in
such times. We will produce an e-magazine
on schedule and we will ensure that
e-magazine, with all its elements reaches you
so that you get your regular fill of our stories,
investment advice and insights into the
financial world. Of course, our website www.
outlookmoney.com will continue to update
you on the latest in the financial world.
We hope to resume regular print
production as soon as things improve and
we are able to restart normal working
schedules. Till such a time, we request you to
bear with us.
Praying that all of you stay home and
stay safe.
Dreams Have No Expiry Date
Being someone of that
ripe age, Latika’s story
about miseries and
following the trail of
opportunities to creating
her own ferry of destiny,
inspired me to a different
height. In times when
women are coming out of
their shell and efficiently
contributing to the
economy, Latika did not step back thinking about her age, as dreams
are to be lived without considering the age. She had her moments
filled with obstacles, but her sheer desire to not overlook her talent
and pick up the resources that she finds midway, only to give a shape
to her dreams. I would like to thank Outlook Money for giving the
deserving exposure to women like Latika Chakravorty.
Shipra Sinha, Kolkata
Building Her Legacy
It was such a delight to read this particular article on how Manju
Yagnik, with her passion and high skill, decided to excel in a maledominated domain. Her achievements
and her sustenance in the real estate
sector should be highly appreciated.
I would request Outlook Money to
come up with such intriguing articles,
which is absolutely important for this
generation to witness. Ishan Sharma, New Delhi.
Shore Amid The Ocean Of Fetters
Life of an entrepreneur
might seem all shiny
and successful, but there
goes a lot of blood and
sweat to garnish such
a lifestyle. This cover
story on interviewing an
entrepreneur from dawn
to dinner was an excellent
one. I loved how the entire article is weaved under a timeframe and
how at the end when she sits for dinner, she looks at her workaholic
life and smiles while raising a toast.
Tejas Malhotra, Mumbai
Securing The Self Against Maladies
I loved the insurance article, which
talks about the necessity to buy
health policies so that they do not
have to face any miseries when any
sickness might arrive. It was very
informative, especially the column
that focuses on the varieties of the
plan and alongside mentions the
insurer, eligible age and what they
cover.
Rohan Desai, Chennai.
Young Fellas’ Financial Affairs
I have always been curious about
the concept of Gen Z being in a
digitally advanced stage of this
century, as compared to the
millennial. Added to this concept,
when Kalpana Pandey’s articlefocused on the credit score, it
became all the more interesting.
Gen Z’s fantastic ability to use
digital platforms to equip them on
and around credit. I enjoyed reading
this and got to learn a new concept.
Shruti Gupta, Mumbai
Regents’ Share In Fintech Realm
Women leaders in the world of
Fintech business is a story that
needs to come to a surface level
for the readers. Upasana Taku’s
journey is really inspiring for
thousands out there, who are out
there achieving milestones. I being
someone from this industry can
relate to it to a far extent. The
questions like, whether a woman
is traveling alone for a business
meeting, still exist. However, I
believe a strong vision and a belief
in one’s capability and talent is all
that a woman requires.
Aratrika Majumdar, Bangalore
Freedom To Enlighten And Empower
I am purchasing outlook money
magazine for a long time, but
the March issue was profoundly
beautiful. The personal finance
section where it is mentioned that
women are generally considered
as the risk-averse, however, it does
not mean that you have to shun
the financial instruments, this
statement is absolutely necessary.
It is important for women to
understand the need for the money
to grow and not just keeping them
in the savings bank account. The
language was very lucid, and overall
a great article.
Souvik Pandey, Bangalore
reference covid economy :author - ARINDAM MUKHERJEE
Cash & Courage In CrIsIs Is PrICeless Long-term investors should buy into extreme bouts of volatility
By Yagnesh Kansara
The coronavirus outbreak is like a
Lehman Brothers moment for the
corporate world but in a much larger
sense, particularly for the emerging and
developing markets. The Lehman Brothers
crisis was only limited to impacting the
banking/ financial markets, associated with
financial aspects of corporate with respect to
raising capital and capex. The crisis did not
have any impact on the general growth and
consumption cycle of India, China, South Asia
and West Asia. Furthermore, the crisis was
limited only to the banking level and had not
spread to the day-to-day functioning of most
companies.
The stock markets, as measured by the
benchmark indices, have fallen by around 25-30
per cent this year, and for once this has been
in sync with global markets as a whole. This
heightened volatility and the general risk-off
attitude in the global markets is due to the
uncertainty and fear created by COVID-19 and
the unprecedented actions of the governments
to contain it.
Coronavirus is a serious set-back to the
economy in the short-run and
a death knell to the financial sector in the long term if this menace does not stop. Mainland China and Hong Kong‘s experience is that corona can be thwarted and controlled. However, it is to be seen how this stops worldwide. India is relatively insulated given the relatively weaker link to Asia’s supply chain. Given that the incidence of coronavirus has been surprisingly low in India (probably aided by under-reporting but also helped by warm weather) and assuming that it does not increase in the coming weeks. Rahul Singh, Chief Investment Officer (CIO) – Equities Tata MF, says, “We prefer to analyse the impact of a global slowdown and possible China linkages on the earnings of specific sectors instead of a broader impact on India’s economy as of now. China is a large supplier of raw materials, components and intermediates for textiles, pharmaceuticals, chemicals and consumer durables/electronics. Decline in Chinese export capacity will impact
a death knell to the financial sector in the long term if this menace does not stop. Mainland China and Hong Kong‘s experience is that corona can be thwarted and controlled. However, it is to be seen how this stops worldwide. India is relatively insulated given the relatively weaker link to Asia’s supply chain. Given that the incidence of coronavirus has been surprisingly low in India (probably aided by under-reporting but also helped by warm weather) and assuming that it does not increase in the coming weeks. Rahul Singh, Chief Investment Officer (CIO) – Equities Tata MF, says, “We prefer to analyse the impact of a global slowdown and possible China linkages on the earnings of specific sectors instead of a broader impact on India’s economy as of now. China is a large supplier of raw materials, components and intermediates for textiles, pharmaceuticals, chemicals and consumer durables/electronics. Decline in Chinese export capacity will impact
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